Monthly Archives: January 2016

Liberal International Order Maintenance

Ivan Eland, the libertarian, has a very tendentious article over at the Huffington Post, reprinted at the Independent Institute website. The article addresses the the continuity between the Gulf War and the Iraq War. This is a reasonable position, however, the way he gets there and the conclusions are suspect in the extreme.

First he makes the claim that the reasons the U.S. went to war to roll back Saddam’s invasion of Kuwait were two: (1) the U.S. wanted to protect Saudi Arabia from further invasion and maintain low oil prices; and (2) George H. W. Bush was beholden of “Munich Syndrome,” the idea that if Saddam was allowed to annex Kuwait, other dissatisfied powers would be emboldened.

As to the first, he cites an economic analysis that indicates that the increase in the price of oil would have been cheaper than the cost of the war. As to the second, he (rightly) makes the claim that no super power can intervene everywhere.  But that doesn’t mean that a super power shouldn’t intervene somewhere.

The claim of Munich Syndrome is a smoke screen. The conflict was over the threat to the liberal international system and to preserve the principles of the United Nations. The United Nations Security Council was at its most effective, because U.S.-Soviet (Russian) rivalry was temporarily at low tide. The United Nations was able put into practice Articles 39-43 to address an interstate breach of the peace. It was a triumph of the IGO.

A series of coercive actions short of war had been taken through the U.N. to reverse the aggression and restore the legitimate government and borders of Kuwait: Resolutions 660, 661, 662, 664, 665, 666, 667, 669, 670 674 and 677. Iraq refused. And thus, the multinational coalition under United Nations authorization and U.S. command destroyed Iraq’s military and ejected them from Kuwait to restore the status quo. I’ll quote Resolution 678:

Noting that despite all efforts by the United Nations, Iraq refuses to comply with its obligation to implement resolution 660 (1990) and the subsequent relevant resolutions, in flagrant contempt of the Security Council,

Mindful of its duties and responsibilities under the Charter of the United Nations for the maintenance and preservation of international peace and security,

Determined to secure full compliance with its decisions,

Acting under Chapter VII of the Charter,

1. Demands that Iraq comply fully with resolution 660 (1990) and all subsequent relevant resolutions, and decides, while maintaining all its decisions, to allow Iraq one final opportunity, as a pause of goodwill to do so;

2. Authorizes Member States co-operating with the Government of Kuwait, unless Iraq on or before 15 January 1991 fully implements, as set forth in paragraph 1 above, the above-mentioned resolutions to use all necessary means to uphold and implement resolution 660 (1990) and all subsequent relevant resolutions and to restore international peace and security in the area;

3. Requests all states to provide appropriate support for the actions undertaken in pursuance of paragraph 2 above;

4. Requests the States concerned to keep the Security Council regularly informed on the progress of actions undertaken pursuant to paragraphs 2 and 3 above;

5. Decides to remain seized of the matter.

Thus, the U.N. outsourced the ejection of Saddam from Kuwait, making the post-Second World War liberal international order actually work for a change in the absence of a super power rivalry on the UNSC. The only other time the U.N. authorized an action of this type was in 1950 that launched the Korean War, which happened only because the Soviet Union was boycotting the U.N. at the time.

Libertarians may abhor the United Nations as a Wilsonian project that threatens the Jeffersonian roots of the United States, but maintenance of the liberal international regime does not amount to Munich Syndrome.

Perfection is the enemy of the good

Ryan Cooper writes over at The Week that the United States should abandon Saudi Arabia as a Persian Gulf ally. The rationale boils down to the following reasons: (1) the human rights record of Saudi Arabia is awful; (2) wealthy Saudis sponsored Bin Laden and the clerics export a form of Islam that fuels our enemies; (3) the Yemen war works against U.S. interests; (4) we don’t need the oil from the Middle East any longer because of fracking revolution.

What went unstated is what are U.S. interests in the region. U.S. interests in the region have mainly been counted as three: (1) maintaining the free flow of oil from the Persian Gulf, (2) maintaining the Jewish State in the region, and (3) preventing another great power from dominating the region.

The U.S. pried Egypt out of the Soviet orbit during the Cold War. It is certainly the case that nations chose to play one super power off against another in order to maximize their financial and military support. Egypt is no different. The U.S. had to rely on the Saudis as the bulwark against revolutionary Iran after the fall of the Pahlavi regime. Revolutionary Iran was and is an enemy of the United States. A capitulation to Iran by throwing Saudi Arabia over the side would hardly be in U.S. interests.

Fracking has turned the United States into the world’s swing producer, but the United States is not self sufficient in energy. Thus, the claim that the U.S. is no longer dependent on Middle East oil is bogus. An appeal to autarky is foolish. This is socialist banana republic thinking. The U.S. is too integrated into the world economy to think that risking tumult in global oil supplies is something that won’t affect the United States.

As to the case of the Yemen proxy war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Because ISIS and al Qaeda have acquired a foothold in Yemen as a base of operations is a complete smokescreen. Al Qaeda has been operating in Yemen since the 1990s, before the current proxy war. ISIS has global appeal to jihadis world wide (Boko Haram, which had no institutional ties ISIS has pledged allegiance). They are likely to back a winner.

My only conclusion based on the recommendations made in the article is that Cooper has been infected with the idea that Iranian hegemony in the Gulf would be stabilizing. There are not a few in the State Department and the foreign policy team in current administration holding out hope for this. However, those that do, fail to understand the religious dynamics of the region. The goal of the international community is to prevent the region from being consumed in a broad Sunni-Shia conflict. Putting out fires are what superpowers do. There is no grand solution to the multitude of interrelated conflicts in the region, but limiting the chaos is what the benign hegemon does. Britain did it since the 18th century. And the U.S. has been carrying that mantle since 1945, no one else is stepping up to do it.

This is the fundamental failure of those who seek ultimate solutions. Perfection is the enemy of the good. Cooper’s essay is an example.

Bacon is a hate crime?

This is absurd.  The FBI offering a $5,000 reward for information leading to the arrest of the person responsible for placing bacon on the doors of a mosque.  They are investigating the desecration as a hate crime.  Hate crime legislation was intended to add penalties to violent crimes committed on account of the victim’s race, gender, identity or sexual orientation.  In this case the crime is littering!  The DA could try to argue an implied threat, but it is doubtful that it could be upheld in court.  Instead this is grandstanding and an attempt to warn off more serious crimes against Muslims that are violent, such as the firebombing of a mosque in Tracy, California.  At least offer the reward for crimes that aren’t misdemeanors.

There is no place for religious intolerance in the United States.  Religious pluralism has characterized the United States since its founding, albeit, until the late 19th Century a pluralism of Christian denominations and a few Sephardic Jews.  Patriotic Americans who think they are doing good by terrorizing Muslims, need to leave it to the FBI to penetrate those mosques that are being used to incite terrorism.  Not every Muslim is a member of some fifth column.  This is the same “dual loyalty” libel leveled against Jews, even by the Obama administration.